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Probability Theory: The Logic of Science E. T. Jaynes, G. Larry Bretthorst
Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Probability Theory: The Logic of Science (Hardcover). Buy new: $86.03 50 used and new from $78.79. Jaynes' "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science"? In probabilistic logic, the process is instead that the thinker reflects on what they know, and updates their assessment of probabilities. Not a standard treatment, but a wonderful (so far) explanation of a Bayesian point of view. First you have to nail down an effect size, that is, the maximum amount the parameter can deviate by (positive or negative) in the experiment in order to conclude that it is of no practical or scientific importance. On everyone else's, and showing this process has a fixed point. No, the world must be saved by mathematicians, computer scientists, and philosophers.” (http://lukeprog.com/SaveTheWorld.html) And I think the idea of blending probability theory and logic this way is a good one. It can say mud is correlated with rain (i.e. That there's a high probability of seeing mud if you see rain), no problem, but expressing the simple causal concept — the kind of thing any five-year-old would know — is impossible. Probability Theory: The Logic of Science (Hardcover) By E.